Let's talk Oscars...

So the nominations were released this morning and The King's Speech leads the pact with twelve nominations. The PGA awards were held over the weekend with 'Speech' taking home the Best Picture awards which makes me rethink picking The Social Network as my Best Picture prediction. While the PGA award isn't as good of a indictor as the DGA, WGA, or SAG, it still picks the Oscar winner 60% of the time. With that said, the Producers Guild of America (PGA) is made up of Producers, that's it. The voters of the Best Picture category include every member of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, from writers to editors. I will monitor the oscar buzz for both films and keep my avid readers informed on the status. As of now I am still predicting a win for The Social Network but The King's Speech is certainly in a close second. Furthermore, I picked the ten nominations for Best Picture correctly and went 16 for 20 in the Acting categories, 8 for 10 in screenplay, perfect in animation, 3 for 5 in documentary (my predicted winner didn't make the cut), and 3 for 5 in direction.

Post Golden Globe Predictions

I've seen Christian Bale ("The Fighter") gain a lot of ground on Geoffrey Rush ("The King's Speech") and am now changing my prediction for Best Supporting Actor to Christian Bale. Also I am changing my documentary prediction for now to "Waiting For Superman".

PGA Nominations

The Producer Guild of America nominations have been released and they matched all of my Oscar nom predictions with the exception of Winter's Bone which was excluded by the PGA, who opted for The Town instead. Both fine films, and in my opinion the PGA made the right decision (just one I didn't think they'd do). Whether or not the Academy voters will follow suit, is unclear. The PGA is a very reliable means of predicting Oscar nominations and winners, with three-quarters of their nominations matching up since the start of the PGA awards. Of those three-quarter matchups, 14 of the PGA's 21 Best Picture winners have gone on to win the Oscar for Best Picture (including last year's The Hurt Locker).

The awards are on January 25th, and it's looking very good for The Social Network to come out on top.